The recent Monmouth University poll showing Bernie Sanders (20%), Elizabeth Warren (20%) and Joe Biden (19%) in a statistical dead heat would seem to be an outlier. The other polls that have come out recently show Biden as the frontrunner, Bernie Sanders in second place, and Elizabeth Warren running about 2-5% behind Bernie. I wonder what difference in methodology produced this poll’s results, which I believe to be more accurate than most current polling.
As of now, it appears to me as if this is a three-way race. All of the others with hats still in the ring are markedly behind, and barring some surprise, will stay that way. Of the three, my preference is definitely Bernie, but I could see myself holding my nose and accepting EW as a compromise. There is no way in hell I will be voting for Joe Biden. If Biden becomes the nominee, I’ll be voting Green.
Just so we’re clear.
Biden is unacceptable to me for the following reasons: first and foremost, I believe Anita Hill. Biden was the chair of the judiciary committee for the Clarence Thomas confirmation hearings, and his performance in that instance was abysmal. Second, Biden has told us already that if he becomes President, nothing will change. He’s clearly beholden to the corporate interests who are funding his campaign, who have funded virtually all of his campaigns, and that is who he will answer to as president. I also perceive him to be a white liberal-style racist, regardless of the fact that he was Obama’s veep.
Elizabeth Warren does not thrill me. There are things I like about her, but I see her playing footsie with the Oligarchs. I think that’s her lane. She is pretty far on the left end of the spectrum (which is actually pretty moderate in comparison the rest of the world’s politics), but she has very carefully positioned herself just to the right of Bernie Sanders. That, in combination with her efforts to show herself to be willing to work with the Old Boys, is smart strategy. I definitely see her path to the nomination, and it’s crafty of her to find it and hew it out for herself. The real question with Warren is, how beholden will she be to those corporate interests? How much of her carefully-thought-out agenda will she be able to accomplish?
Bernie, on the other hand, is a well-known quantity. He’s had the same belief system since the 60s. He’s not inflexible, but you always know where Bernie’s coming from. He’s a classic New Dealer. He also has an uncanny gift for being right on the issues. Remember that internet meme, “For every mistake this country has made, there’s a video of Bernie Sanders trying to stop it”? That’s who he is. It shouldn’t be a rare thing, to live your life with conviction the way Bernie has, but in this world, at this time, it is. His positions come from that deep moral conviction, and he has backbone.
He’s 77 years old, a year and two months older than Joe Biden. But where Biden appears to be suffering some cognitive decline (face it, he is!) Bernie is as lucid and quick as a president should be. I think he’ll be that way if he lives to be 100. There is no evidence of old brain that I can see, and he’s also healthy and physically active. I honestly believe he could do two terms.
The question is, can he convince the country that he could withstand the vicissitudes of office? That’s a heavier lift. Possibly too heavy. The other hard sell in this country is to get people to understand that his policies will work. This is one way that Warren is beating Bernie right now. She is making the case for her competency to do the things she has laid out.
Bernie has that competency, but can he get the public to see that? He has to, if he’s to win.
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